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Rotherham have 60 per cent chance of survival according to projected stats

Rotherham have a 60 per cent chance of beating Sky Bet Championship relegation this season, according to a projected goals model.

The model, which tracks the attacking, defensive and overall strength of each club based on the quality of chances they create and allow, predicts the Millers will finish in 21st position come May.

On the club's current ratings and those of their remaining opponents, it is probable that the Millers will finish narrowly above MK Dons while Bolton and Charlton will be cut adrift.

Bristol City are still strong candidates for the drop, while the model puts Fulham's probability of going down at just under 28 per cent.

Steve Evans’ Leeds, Huddersfield and Blackburn are the only other candidates to slip into a relegation battle, but at less than 10 per cent that seems unlikely.

At the other end of the table, Hull and Middlesbrough both have more than a 70 per cent chance of finishing in the top two.

The model does not of course does not take into account sides improving with the addition of new players, nor does it allow for side's raising their level of performance in clutch games.

It is designed by the Press Association’s data analyst Experimental 3-6-1 and a full explanation of the model can be found here.

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