The Millers host Brighton, themselves not mathematically safe from the drop, while Wigan welcome Derby to the DW Stadium.
09:26:00
Millers dreading an Easter resurrection for Wigan
Anyone of a religious
inclination will spend Easter weekend celebrating a miraculous resurrection.
Anyone of a Rotherham United
inclination will spend the same weekend praying there is not a miraculous
resurrection of another sort.
On the back of a two-week
international break, the Millers enter the final stretch of a long and
topsy-turvy Sky Bet Championship campaign with their relegation fate still
undecided.
With seven games to go they
are five points ahead of third-from-bottom Wigan – it’s officially squeaky bum
time.
There is a very good chance
the team who will end up in the third relegation spot – assuming Blackpool and
Millwall take the bottom two places – will be decided over the games on
Good Friday and Easter Monday.
Rotherham are in pole
position, they are the team outside of the relegation zone, they know their
safety is still in their own hands.
In fact, for the entire
season has always been about what the Millers do and crucially it still is.
But as the games have ticked
by and they have thrown points away and stumbled with the finishing line in
sight, it’s suddenly also become about what Wigan do.
That is due to the result
between the two sides three weeks ago, where Latics won 2-1 despite Rotherham
dominating, and crucially that crazy 10-minute period in the last round of
fixtures which swung the points difference from nine to five after late goals
in respective games against Sheffield Wednesday and Bolton.
On paper, which for the
unpredictable Championship is a useless tool to use as a guide, the Millers have
the favourable fixtures.
They begin by travelling to
Birmingham on Good Friday. It’s definitely not a game not to be sniffed at as
none at this level are, but with their hosts’ mid-table position and faltering
form, it represents a real chance to claim some points.
Indeed, Blues have won less
league games than Steve Evans’ men in 2015 and with no chance of relegation or
promotion, they could be a side there for the taking.
Contrast that with Wigan’s
trip to Middlesbrough and Malky Mackay’s side come up against a team very much
still playing for something.
Boro are in the middle of a
fascinating race for promotion to the Premier League, which arguably contains
up to eight competitors, and they can ill-afford a home loss against a team in
the bottom three.
Aitor Karanka’s men have won
eight of their last nine home games, but that is offset by Wigan’s impressive
away form, where they have won their last four, including a surprise success at
high-flying Norwich.
Those games are followed 72 hours later by a return to home soil for both.
The Millers host Brighton, themselves not mathematically safe from the drop, while Wigan welcome Derby to the DW Stadium.
The Millers host Brighton, themselves not mathematically safe from the drop, while Wigan welcome Derby to the DW Stadium.
Neither side can boast an
impressive home record in recent times with the Millers losing three league
games in a row for the first time at New York Stadium while Wigan have not
tasted a home victory since August.
Rotherham will see this as an
excellent chance to get three of the six points boss Evans has targeted for
survival and this game surely deserves a ‘must-win’ classification, coming
against a team around them in the table.
The visit of Derby will be a
tough encounter for Wigan, regardless of their woeful home form.
The Rams have slipped in
recent weeks as they look increasingly play-off bound, but with automatic
promotion still a possibility they will be hopeful of getting the three points
at Wigan.
If Rotherham have a bad an Easter as someone who is allergic to chocolate then they could find themselves in the bottom
three for only the second time this season and the first since November.
But for that to happen they
would need to lose their two games, against average opposition, while Wigan
would have to beat two sides in an automatic promotion race.
For them to have climbed out of the relegation zone for the time since November on the back of beating Boro and Derby would be a resurrection of biblical proportions.
But if Easter goes better for Rotherham than a chocoholic getting sent to the Cadbury’s factory, then their
survival could be all-but guaranteed.
A four-point haul from their
two games and defeats for Wigan would restore that nine-point gap and with only
five games left, that would be hard for the Latics to overhaul.
Six points from the Easter weekend and none for Wigan, well that would just be dreamland for the Millers.
This, of course, assumes that
the final relegation berth will be taken by one of the Millers or Wigan.
But Fulham are very much still
in it considering they play Wigan and Rotherham in back-to-back home games
after the Easter weekend, which could be crucial if they pick up no points from
their derbies with Brentford and Charlton over the festive period.
Whatever happens over the next two games, there are still plenty of twists and turns ahead.
But if Wigan were to mount a miraculous Easter resurrection and win both of their games, then the Millers are likely to be staring down the barrel.